Deriv last digit analysis: what the digit stats show

5 min de lecture

Last digit analysis counts how often each digit from 0 to 9 has ended the price over a recent run of ticks. Tools show it as a bar per digit, under names like digit stats or last digit prediction (LDP). The count tells you exactly what happened in that window. It does not change the odds of the next digit, and you can check that yourself in a few thousand ticks. What a digit window can do is decide when a bot is in the market, and that is how the digit bots on BinaryTick use it.

What last digit analysis measures

Every digit contract settles on the last digit of the final tick, read at the index's own number of decimal places. Volatility 10 quotes to three decimals, so a price of 4904.538 ends in 8. Volatility 100 (1s) quotes to two.

A digit analysis tool takes the last N ticks, pulls out each last digit and shows what share each digit took. Deriv's own Bot Builder has a block for it, Last Digits List, which returns the last digits of the 1000 most recent ticks.

What 10,000 real ticks show

We pulled 10,000 ticks from Deriv's public feed on 12 October 2026, from Volatility 10 and from Volatility 100 (1s), and counted the last digits.

WindowVolatility 10Volatility 100 (1s)
All 10,000 ticksevery digit between 9.6% and 10.5%every digit between 9.4% and 10.6%
Any 500 ticksa digit ranged from 6% to 15%a digit ranged from 6% to 15%
Any 100 ticksa digit ranged from 1% to 24%a digit ranged from 1% to 22%
Any 50 ticksa digit ranged from 0% to 30%a digit ranged from 0% to 30%

Over the full sample each digit lands close to one tick in ten. Over a short window the bars swing hard: a digit can vanish for 50 ticks or take nearly a third of them. That swing is what makes a 50-tick chart look like it is saying something.

Do hot and cold digits predict the next one?

The same 10,000 ticks answer this. On Volatility 10 we looked at every point where a digit had appeared 9 or more times in the last 50 ticks, and every point where one had appeared once or not at all. In both cases the next digit was that digit about as often as it was any other. Volatility 100 (1s) gave the same picture.

The card for Digit Drought Sniper puts it this way: "A digit that has been missing is not due; every tick is a fresh draw." The same holds the other way round: a digit that has been showing up carries no streak into the next tick.

What a digit window is good for

A window decides when a bot trades and how often. A bot that waits for a lopsided count places fewer trades than one that buys on every tick, so its stake progression and session limits stretch over a longer session. Every bot below shows its window and thresholds under Settings, and changing them changes the pace.

  • Digit Frequency Scanner counts what share of the last 50 digits fell below the barrier and only buys when that share passes 65% or drops under 35%. It sits in the Longer scans group.
  • Tail Weight counts how many of the last 40 digits landed above the barrier and compares that with the share the barrier implies.
  • Digit Mean Shift averages the last 30 digits. The long-run average is 4.5, and the bot takes the side of the barrier the window's average has drifted to.
  • Hot Digit Match names the digit that appeared most in the last 40, once it has turned up at least 7 times. Cold Digit Match names the one that appeared least, while it has turned up 4 times or fewer.
  • Digit Drought Sniper backs one digit after it has stayed away for 25 ticks, which happens a handful of times a session.
  • Parity Balance counts even and odd digits over the last 20 and backs whichever side is behind, once it trails by 4.

A shorter window or a looser threshold means more trades. A longer window or a stricter threshold means fewer, and longer waits between them.

Is there a best time to trade digits?

No hour is better than another for digit odds. The synthetic indices run around the clock, and on 12 October 2026 Deriv paid 1.95 USD on a 1 USD Even or Odd contract on every Volatility index we priced. Pick a pace that suits your session instead: a 1s index gives a bot twice as many ticks to work with as a standard one, and a Longer scans bot suits a session you can leave running.

Read the digits yourself

Open any digit bot on BinaryTick and press Edit in Bot Builder to see how it reads the digits, block by block. The Last Digits List block is there too, if you want to build your own count. The bots themselves are free on the Over / Under, Matches / Differs and Even / Odd pages.

Run one now

Start with Tail Weight on your demo balance. Watch the window fill, see when the bot decides to act, then shorten or lengthen the window and watch the pace change. Digit Frequency Scanner is the patient version: it can sit out for several minutes waiting for a lopsided count, so run it when you can leave a session going. For the contracts behind these bots, read the digit bots guide and Deriv Over / Under bots.

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